External Analyst

The writer(s) are external experts. Bangalore Aviation may not agree with the views expressed by the author. Authors prefer to remain anonymous for a variety of reasons but mostly since they are not authorised by their employers to express their views publicly on the record.

Bengaluru and Mumbai airports plan runway closures. Pax, airlines, fares hit.

Runway 09 at Kempegowda airport, Bangalore. Image copyright Devesh Agarwal. All rights reserved. Used with permission.

As Air traffic grows at an exponential pace, Indian airports are struggling to keep up. Building capacity ahead of demand has never quite been the norm and this is now catching up. Airports like Mumbai, Bengaluru, Pune, Goa are severely constrained and in the near term the capacity woes will continue. While terminal capacity and landside capacity can be managed, …

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Jet Airways Q1 FY2017 results analysis – headwinds and turbulence likely

Jet Airways Boeing 777-300ER VT-JEG performing flight 9W117 from London approaches Mumbai airport

Jet Airways reported results on August 12th with a net profit of Rs 103.1 crores on revenues of Rs 5,112 crores for the first quarter of fiscal year 2016-17 (FY17). The results indicate several challenges and highlights are as below: Operational performance The quarter saw an overall capacity increase of 3.8% compared to the same quarter last year, when measured …

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Jet Airways Q4 and full year 2015-16 results and performance analysis

Jet Airways Boeing 737-700 VT-JNS at Bengaluru Kempegowda airport

Jet Airways recently reported numbers for the quarter and the year. For the fourth quarter ending 31 March 2016, the airline reported an impressive net profit of Rs 3,972 million and for the year a net profit of INR 11,733 million. After extensive research into qualitative and quantitative details an analysis is presented below: Strategic shift Jet has moved away …

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Indian aviation largely overlooked in the 2016 budget

The nightly aircraft line-up tail parade at the apron of Kempegowda International Airport Bangalore

For all the talk of the Government promoting aviation and as the industry watched with baited breath, the budget seems to have continued the Modi-government’s ignoring of  civil aviation. The sum-total budget proposals pertinent to aviation do not even warrant us writing an article. If anything, they could likely be summed up in an SMS message. Namely, Aviation turbine fuel (ATF) …

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Analysis: How will IndiGo integrate the Airbus A320neo?

IndiGo's first A320neo. MSN6799. VT-ITC. Photo courtesy the airline.

Indigo received their first Airbus A320neo (new engine option) today and within a week of the Directorate General’s of Civil Aviation approval with type certificate. With a few more formalities the aircraft will be ready to fly the Indian skies making Indigo the first Asian and Indian operator of the new aircraft. Other airlines (GoAir, Vistara and Air India, all have …

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Jet Airways’ Q2 FY2016 profits still reflect some concerns

Jet Airways Airbus A330-300 VT-JWQ. Image copyright Vedant Agarwal.

Jet Airways recently reported results for the second quarter (July – Sept).  Profit for the quarter was at 87.5 crores however, that does not give the complete picture. Analysed further the numbers bring up several trends. Lower fuel prices have helped bring down costs significantly Jet Airways CASK (cost per available seat kilometre) is in the range of Rs 4.14 …

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Global distribution systems and airline ticket distribution in India

Airline global distribution system network. Graphic by Devesh Agarwal

With the recent news around Lufthansa levying a surcharge for all bookings via global distribution systems (GDS), the debate on airline distribution has returned to the forefront. We examine the distribution strategies of various airlines in the Indian context Despite the push by airlines to offer direct bookings via their websites, these global distribution systems still handle significant booking volumes …

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IndiGo aircraft order MOU expired. What questions investors should ask IndiGo.

IndiGo_A320 classic VT-INT. Photo: Devesh Agarwal.

India’s largest domestic airline Indigo filed a 557 page draft red herring prospectus (DHRP) which is a preliminary document towards an initial public offering (IPO). For 10% of the company, Indigo is targeting an IPO of approximately $400 million (Rs 2,500 crores), effectively giving the airline a valuation of $4 billion. The funds from the IPO are to be used …

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A day of revival at Malaysia Airlines and lessons for our national carrier

The 1st of June was a day of revival for Malaysia Airlines. As of that day all 20,000 odd employees were served termination letters and all assets transferred to a new entity. The new company will subsequently re-employ 2/3rds of the staff but on new terms and contracts. This drastic but necessary decision is being carried out given the precarious …

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Different yet similar: Network Strategies for Indian carriers

A view of the ramp at Bangalore Airport.

Indian carriers seem to be all chasing the same passenger. A cursory look at capacity deployment across seven carriers shows very little variance in terms of a domestic network strategy. However, as one starts to delve deeper some differences tend to emerge. Overall planners focus on three things: schedule offerings (and consequently slots); aircraft utilization; and feed (just a fancy name …

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Tech Tuesday: Proving Flights

AirAsia India first Airbus A320 with Sharklets VT-ATF

In late 2013, India’s civil aviation regulator the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) introduced a Civil Aviation Policy, CAP-3100, in line with ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organisation, pronounced eye-kay-oh) guidelines, to guide an organisation on the steps required to obtain an Air Operator’s Certificate, or an AOP. The AOP is required for an operator to offer air transport services, …

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Tech Tuesday: Aircraft maintenance checks

Celebrating international women's' day an Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) technician checks out an F-15 Eagle.

Unlike a land or water based vehicle, an airplane has no means to halt mid air, nor land at any open field, should a snag occur. Keeping the airplane airworthy is of prime importance, recognized by the aviation regulator of each country, mandating checks in the interest of flight safety. Checks, short for maintenance checks, are conducted at intervals specified …

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