Monday , 21 September 2020

External Analyst

The writer(s) are external experts. Bangalore Aviation may not agree with the views expressed by the author. Authors prefer to remain anonymous for a variety of reasons but mostly since they are not authorised by their employers to express their views publicly on the record.

IndiGo plans to raise Rs 4000 crore by QIP to combat pandemic induced losses

Indigo Airbus A320neo VT-ITK. Image copyright Vedant Agarwal.

The Board of Directors of Interglobe Aviation Limited, the company that operates IndiGo, has approved raising additional equity of up to Rs 4000 crore by way of a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) as the airline strengthens its war chest to tide over the downturn in aviation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Read: Indigo’s Q1FY21 results analysis: Highlighting the depth of …

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SpiceJet Q4FY20 results analysis: A sharp deterioration in financial health

Spicejet Boeing 737-800 VT-SPL "Cardamom"

After a long delay, India’s second-largest low-cost carrier reported its Q4FY20 results yesterday. Despite strong revenue growth, the airline posted a loss of ₹807 on account of increases in fuel costs, decline of the rupee and the impact of COVID-19 pandemic. The accumulated losses and increase in liabilities have deteriorated the financial health of the airline. SpiceJet Q4FY20 results snapshot …

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Indigo Q4FY20 results: Is India likely to see an airline failure? Indigo’s results point that way

Indigo Airbus A320neo VT-ITK. Image copyright Vedant Agarwal.

India’s largest airline reported its results yesterday. What was surprising was the quantum of the loss at 870.8 crores. Indigo attributes this to the impact of COVID-19, coupled with the weakness of the rupee, which has resulted in a spike in costs. Indeed, it is very telling that for an airline that is so focused and disciplined, there has been …

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Ministry gives airlines a pass to refuse passengers refunds

In a time where political leaders are appealing to citizens to do the “right things”, where some businesses highlight values of profit over purpose and where all need to come together to tide over this crisis collectively, the actions of airlines and the lack of accountability have left many perplexed. Specifically: the non-refunding of passenger monies – an unfair and …

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SpiceJet Q3FY20 results analysis: Has rapid expansion hurt the airline?

SpiceJet Bombardier Q400 Dash 8 VT-SUB lands at Kempegowda airport Bangalore. Photo by Vedant Agarwal. All rights reserved.

February 14th saw SpiceJet report its third-quarter results. The airline reported a profit of INR 78.2 crores but we believe the results warrant closer examination. This because of the Boeing 737MAX grounding and the fact that compensation that has been recorded but not yet received by SpiceJet significantly contributed to this result. Additionally, in looking at the operational numbers, it …

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Air India wants 2400 crores more, the bleeding continues

Air India Boeing 747-400 VT-ESP Ajanta. Image copyright Devesh Agarwal.

After a loss of 8,556 crores in FY19, the Chairman and Managing Director (CMD) of Air India has indicated that the airline needs a sovereign guarantee of 2400 crores to fund ongoing operations. The airline continues to bleed cash at an alarming rate. Capacity woes continue and estimates indicate that twenty-two aircraft are grounded. On the costs side, there have …

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Analysis: Indian Aviation Budget 2019

For the aviation stakeholders, the budget was heavy on prose and lacking in numbers. A government that came in with a decisive mandate was expected to deliver on bold reforms. Yet, given that the tax revenues are declining and ambitious social sector schemes continuing, aviation once again saw token allocations and scant consideration. 5 key areas were highlighted: 1. Air …

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Indigo fourth quarter FY2018-19 results analysis: Massive increase in Q4 profits, but a sharp annual decline

Indigo Airbus A320neo VT-ITK. Image copyright Vedant Agarwal.

Indigo Airlines reported its fourth-quarter results this Monday. As their CEO expounded – this year consisted of two halves. The 4th quarter was critical for Indigo as it pushed the airline to an overall profit. That said, the results continue to highlight the core challenges in the Indian market. Key numbers for Indigo’s fourth-quarter results: Revenue from Operations: 7883 crores …

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Indigo Q3FY19 results analysis: the fare wars have just begun

Indigo Airbus A320neo VT-ITK. Image copyright Vedant Agarwal.

Indigo Airlines reported its third-quarter results this Wednesday. While the results showed an improving trend compared to the last two quarters with a profit figure of 190 crores, overall the results highlight the core challenges in the Indian market. Key numbers fr Indigo’s third-quarter results: Revenue from Operations: 7916 crores Operating cost: 8038 crores EBITDAR: 1681 crores Net profit: 190 …

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SpiceJet Q2FY19 results analysis

SpiceJet Boeing 737-800 VT-SPJ. Photo copyright Devesh Agarwal.

SpiceJet, reported its second quarter results of the fiscal year 2018-19 (FY19) yesterday. Much like the results of other listed airlines, it was a loss for the quarter. SpiceJet Q2FY19 snapshot: Revenues ₹1,9104 crores (up 4%) Costs ₹2,299 crores (up 25%) EBITDAR (₹32.7) crores Profit before tax (PBT): loss of (₹396 crores) Revenue per available seat kilometre (RASK) ₹3.73 Cost per …

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Jet Airways Q2FY19 results analysis and what the future may hold

VT-JAX Jet Airways Boeing 737 MAX 8. Image copyrighted. Do not reproduce.

Jet Airways reported its second quarter (Q2FY19) results this Tuesday.  With a loss of 1261 crores, the results were better than analyst expectations – highlighting how low the market sentiment has become. Jet finds itself in a challenging spot with increasing cost pressures, onslaught of low cost carriers in the domestic market and liquidity pressures towards servicing debt. Bangalore Aviation …

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Jet Airways first quarter FY2018-19 results analysis

VT-JAX Jet Airways Boeing 737 MAX 8. Image copyrighted. Do not reproduce.

We ended our Q4FY18 analysis for Jet by indicating that, “Going forward, it seems that Jet Airways is headed for a turbulent ride. Debt will grow for the short-term. The revenue pressures are intense and the cost base is high. Addressing both these elements is critical to success.” While we forecast a result that would reflect ongoing challenges, little did …

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SpiceJet first quarter FY2018-19 results analysis

SpiceJet, reported its first quarter results of the fiscal year 2018-2019 (Q1FY19) last week. Much like its rival Indigo, it was a result that reflected the ongoing weakness in the market and was below expectations. Key numbers SpiceJet Q1FY19 results snapshot (in INR) comparisons to Q1FY18 Revenues ₹2,236 crores (up 20%) Costs ₹2,245 crores (up 31%) EBITDAR ₹398 crores (down …

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Analysis of Jet Airways’ fourth quarter and full year FY2017-18 results

Jet Airways Boeing 737 MAX 8.

Confirming the challenging nature of the market, Jet Airways posted a loss of ₹1,036 crores for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2018. This pulled the full year loss to ₹767 crores. This was their first loss after eleven consecutive profitable quarters and the first full year loss after 2 years of profit. The results reflect …

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Analysis: Indigo’s fourth quarter FY18 results

Indigo Airbus A320neo VT-ITK. Image copyright Vedant Agarwal.

Indigo’s fourth quarter results were far below expectations, reflecting the intensely competitive market and irrational market and also Indigo’s challenges as it continues its growth path. The results were announced along with the full year results, however we present an analysis only of the fourth quarter as it is reflective of certain trends in the market (a full year analysis …

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